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Posts Tagged ‘rasmussen’

Two predictions

McCain will never again hold the lead in either the Gallup or the Rasmussen daily tracking polls.

The election won’t even be that close — Obama will win by at least 30 EVs.

[Update, October 11]: My first prediction has held good so far. As for my second, I now think Obama will win by at least 100 EVs.

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Two tracking polls, opposite trends.

Hillary vs Obama : Gallup, Rasmussen.

Look at the period March 15 – March 24.

What to make of it? 

Update: Mark Blumenthal points out that at least a large part of this variation can be attributed to statistical ‘noise’.

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