Check out the graphic above. Obama received a big bounce from the Dem convention, but then, McCain went..whoosh! Sarah Palin is the GOP dream — a potatoes-and-meat, ultra-glib, sexy, super-charismatic, Republican version of Obama.
As Althouse said:
It’s as if some mad right-wing scientists designed and built an android to counter all the things that Obama is. Can she be real? Can it be that there was this actual human entity, on ice in Alaska, waiting for this moment to be thawed out and set loose in the lower 48?
But things are not as bad for Obama as the graphic might make it look. What has happened is that Palin has energized the Republican base, so that the red states that Obama was going to lose by 10 points, he will now lose by 30. However Obama does not need to win those states, what he needs for a majority is the Kerry states + Iowa + Colorado + New Mexico. At the time of writing, the polls show Obama ahead in all the above states.
So, all Obama needs to do is concentrate on the above states (especially PA, MI and CO) as well as make a serious effort for Florida (which has a huge 27 electoral college votes, and right now is barely leaning Republican). Also, he would be be better off if his campaign stops attacking Palin and instead releases some crisp, succint ads, highlighting key issues that voters care about (e.g. the fact that 95% of Americans get a bigger tax break from Obama’s plan than McCain’s). If he can drive home these messages successfully, and stand strong in the three debates, he will still be the favourite on November 4.