Election 2008: Preview and final predictions

Here, in short, is what to expect tomorrow: Who will win? The outcome of the election is not in doubt. Barack Obama will be the next president of the USA. When will we know the results in each state? Check out this article by Nate Silver for a nice time-line of when polls close in [...]

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Why the Republicans must lose

There are at least two good reasons why libertarians should not be supporting McCain this election. One of those is fairly straightforward: Obama is better. I have written several posts in the past elaborating on this point. To put it briefly, Obama is no libertarian, not even close, but on some of the most important [...]

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We are now officially in landslide territory

Watch McCain lose the remaining undecided women : So how many EV’s will Obama get? 333? 348? 375? More? Right now I am guessing 364 369 , on the assumption that he will win NC, MO and WV but lose IN. [Update] Five Thirty Eight has a post today, where they … basically agree with [...]

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Dead girl, live boy territory

The polling seems to be getting stronger for Obama with every passing day. Five Thirty Eight currently gives Obama a 95.8% chance of winning the election, and that is after accounting for some tightening of the polls in the coming weeks. More astoundingly, no fewer than seven current polls show Obama with a double-digit lead [...]

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The lesser evil

Both candidates running for presidency are bad from a libertarian perspective, but, my opinion, as I have often stated on this blog, is that McCain is clearly worse. Radley Balko, who shares that view, has a fine post explaining why. Obama is a seriously flawed candidate. And yes, Obama united with a Democratic Congress is [...]

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Another prediction

A month an a half from now, when John McCain’s team tries to pinpoint the reason they lost the election, they will eventually stumble upon a date: September 24. It was a day that saw McCain making his disastrous debate postponement offer (stellarly countered by Obama) that saw him mocked by Dave Letterman and much [...]

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McCain’s boiling moralism

Conservative columnist George Will is bang on the money: Channeling his inner Queen of Hearts, John McCain furiously, and apparently without even looking around at facts, said Chris Cox, chairman of the Securities and Exchange Commission, should be decapitated. This childish reflex provoked the Wall Street Journal to editorialize that “McCain untethered” — disconnected from [...]

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The bad and the ugly — measuring fallout

Neither of the major candidates of the upcoming US presidential election offers much hope to those who believe in individual liberty and limited government. In this post, I will outline the five things to fear most from each of them becoming President. Five things to fear from an Obama presidency: 1. Card check. This ought [...]

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Two predictions

McCain will never again hold the lead in either the Gallup or the Rasmussen daily tracking polls. The election won’t even be that close — Obama will win by at least 30 EVs. [Update, October 11]: My first prediction has held good so far. As for my second, I now think Obama will win by [...]

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The Palin bounce

Check out the graphic above. Obama received a big bounce from the Dem convention, but then, McCain went..whoosh! Sarah Palin is the GOP dream — a potatoes-and-meat, ultra-glib, sexy, super-charismatic, Republican version of Obama. As Althouse said: It’s as if some mad right-wing scientists designed and built an android to counter all the things that [...]

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Cindy McCain, Sarah Palin

John McCain left both his first wife and Mitt Romney for beauty queens. Honestly, that’s the best political witticism I have heard in a long time. [Edit:] Check out this video.

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Ban all stem cell research?

From the still-under-construction Republican platform for this election: On stem-cell research — The 2008 Republican Platform calls for a ban on all embryonic stem-cell research, public or private. On gambling — Millions of Americans suffer from problem or pathological gambling that can destroy families. We support legislation prohibiting gambling over the Internet or in student [...]

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Obama seeks to silence attack ad

The Obama campaign’s response to the nasty and misleading Ayers ad is highly disappointing in its own way. Barack Obama is striking back fiercely and swiftly to stamp out an ad that links him to a 1960s radical, eager to demonstrate a far more aggressive response to attacks than John Kerry did when faced with [...]

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The Obama “Seven houses” advertisement

Yesterday, at a campaign stop, John McCain was asked how many houses he owns. He couldn’t remember. The Obama team was quick to incorporate that into an ad: Now, there are two things that strike me about this ad. First, the houses gaffe is a gift-send for Obama. It combines several themes that Obama would [...]

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McCain wants to bring back the draft?

This happened at a town hall meeting today: QUESTIONER: [...] If we don’t reenact the draft, I don’t think we’ll have anyone to chase Bin Laden to the gates of hell. [Appaluse] MCCAIN: Ma’am, let me say that I don’t disagree with anything you said. If the Obama team is smart, they will incorporate this [...]

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